New Orleans Saints vs Dallas Cowboys 12/23/2012

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Expect a close game with the New Orleans Saints winning 52% of simulations, and the Dallas Cowboys 48% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The New Orleans Saints commit fewer turnovers in 49% of simulations and they go on to win 72% when they take care of the ball. The Dallas Cowboys wins 68% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Drew Brees is averaging 319 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (40% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. Tony Romo is averaging 305 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (38% chance) then he helps his team win 52%.
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